Last night, 8:30 pm, you posted you had “gone out on a limb to check and the red wave wasn’t going to happen.” Had stopped with the MSM two weeks ago; relied mostly on Substacks and TargetEarly and my gut-sense of more optimistic than not. Last night was first time since the 1970’s I didn’t watch any returns. I’m so grateful you suited u…
Last night, 8:30 pm, you posted you had “gone out on a limb to check and the red wave wasn’t going to happen.” Had stopped with the MSM two weeks ago; relied mostly on Substacks and TargetEarly and my gut-sense of more optimistic than not. Last night was first time since the 1970’s I didn’t watch any returns. I’m so grateful you suited up, weathered some MSM and posted your no red wave notice. With the many gifts you share I believe you are a Sanity-Savior.
For the first time since I registered to vote 50 years ago, I did not watch election night coverage. I have stopped watching tv "news". I also rely on Substack. I totally ignore polls; they are notoriously wrong.
Actually, the good polls, and the aggregators like 538, were on the money. It wasn't the numbers that were wrong, it was the willingness to uncritically go along with "conventional wisdom" and Republicans "working the refs." There was an excellent examination on this with a panel led by Chris Hayes tonight on MSNBC. The outcome possibilities that we are seeing now were there in the polls, but missed by the "analysis."
Last night, 8:30 pm, you posted you had “gone out on a limb to check and the red wave wasn’t going to happen.” Had stopped with the MSM two weeks ago; relied mostly on Substacks and TargetEarly and my gut-sense of more optimistic than not. Last night was first time since the 1970’s I didn’t watch any returns. I’m so grateful you suited up, weathered some MSM and posted your no red wave notice. With the many gifts you share I believe you are a Sanity-Savior.
At'cher service, ma'am. :-)
For the first time since I registered to vote 50 years ago, I did not watch election night coverage. I have stopped watching tv "news". I also rely on Substack. I totally ignore polls; they are notoriously wrong.
Actually, the good polls, and the aggregators like 538, were on the money. It wasn't the numbers that were wrong, it was the willingness to uncritically go along with "conventional wisdom" and Republicans "working the refs." There was an excellent examination on this with a panel led by Chris Hayes tonight on MSNBC. The outcome possibilities that we are seeing now were there in the polls, but missed by the "analysis."
I recommend substack posts today on this topic by James Fallows and Brad DeLong
https://fallows.substack.com/p/the-political-press-needs-a-time?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
https://braddelong.substack.com/p/a-lesson-on-how-i-should-read-the
Detailed analysis on why pundits suck.