For the first time since I registered to vote 50 years ago, I did not watch election night coverage. I have stopped watching tv "news". I also rely on Substack. I totally ignore polls; they are notoriously wrong.
For the first time since I registered to vote 50 years ago, I did not watch election night coverage. I have stopped watching tv "news". I also rely on Substack. I totally ignore polls; they are notoriously wrong.
Actually, the good polls, and the aggregators like 538, were on the money. It wasn't the numbers that were wrong, it was the willingness to uncritically go along with "conventional wisdom" and Republicans "working the refs." There was an excellent examination on this with a panel led by Chris Hayes tonight on MSNBC. The outcome possibilities that we are seeing now were there in the polls, but missed by the "analysis."
For the first time since I registered to vote 50 years ago, I did not watch election night coverage. I have stopped watching tv "news". I also rely on Substack. I totally ignore polls; they are notoriously wrong.
Actually, the good polls, and the aggregators like 538, were on the money. It wasn't the numbers that were wrong, it was the willingness to uncritically go along with "conventional wisdom" and Republicans "working the refs." There was an excellent examination on this with a panel led by Chris Hayes tonight on MSNBC. The outcome possibilities that we are seeing now were there in the polls, but missed by the "analysis."
I recommend substack posts today on this topic by James Fallows and Brad DeLong
https://fallows.substack.com/p/the-political-press-needs-a-time?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
https://braddelong.substack.com/p/a-lesson-on-how-i-should-read-the
Detailed analysis on why pundits suck.