Picked this up from Simon Rosenbeg’s email newsletter:
Recent Senate polling is also very encouraging (all via 538):
AZ 46% Gallego -42% Lake Emerson, 49%-42% CAPA, 50%-47% Progress Action Fund
MI 46% Slotkin - 41% Rogers Detroit News, 51%-46% Fox News, 45%-41% Emerson
MT - no recent reliable polling (let me see what I can dig up)
NV 45% Rosen - 40% Brown Redfield & Wilton, 41%-33% Natl Public Affairs, 47%-42% AARP
OH 46% Brown - 42% Moreno AARP, 50%-45% Marist
PA 47% Casey - 42% McCormick Susquehanna, 53%-42% Bullfinch, 46%-39% Redfield & Wilton, 55%-42% Fox News
WI 54% Baldwin - 43% Hovde Fox News, 49%-43% Emerson, 51%-43% Progress Action, 49%-41% American Greatness (MAGA)
These are the seven races everyone has considered the most likely for a “flip[“ to happen.
Like Robert Hubble says, we have every reason to be confident and no cause for complacency.
The wind has picked up. The tops’ls, the t’gallants, the royals and the mains have filled. We are sailing in the right direction and the wind is at our back.
Work harder.
Thanks to all the paid subscribers who make it possible for me to concentrate on this work. It’s only $7/month or $70/year.
Comments are for paid subscribers.
If memory serves, there's a fundraiser for several senators that Robert Hubbell and Adam Schiff are co-hosting on the evening of August 14th. Among those senators are Colin Allred, so I HAD to sign up!
I love your references to old sailing ships and the sails that used the wind to power them! My Dad had books with all the different types of ships, how many masts each type had and what the sails were called, depending on where they were positioned on the mast. Which sails to raise or furl, depending on how the wind was blowing and from what direction. Those were brave sailors doing that work!