From another website:
By overturning Roe, the Supreme Court has reshaped the 2022 midterm election as Democrats have gained an average of 5 points in the last 9 post-Roe polls.
Democrats Are No Longer Facing A Wave Election
There is a combination of factors at work to explain the turnaround in the polling for Democrats, but the biggest one is the overturn of Roe. The Supreme Court changed the scope of the midterm election. Any poll that finds that Roe is not an important issue to voters is a poll that is either outdated or methodologically questionable.
There are 10 polls of the Congressional Generic taken since Roe ended.
In these 10 polls Dems lead 44.9 to 43.9, +1 Dem. That's a 3-4 pt swing in the last few weeks. 1/
Simon Rosenberg
Last Poll New Poll D Shift
NPR/Marist 44-47 48-41 +10
Econ/YouGov 40-45 43-40 +8
Monmouth 43-50 46-48 +5
Yahoo/YouGov 43-39 45-38 +3
Politico/MC 42-42 45-42 +3
Can you bear this good news? I had to check out Simon Rosenberg's blog and bring back some more.
All thanks to TCinLA.
'We are pleased elements of this work have been cited in new articles by John Harwood on the CNN site, Greg Sargent in the Washington Post, Susan Milligan in US News, John Skolnick in Salon and AB Stoddard in The Bulwark. Simon did an in-depth election review with Ian Masters last night for his radio show/podcast, and we are hosting pop-up political/poll briefings to explore this changing and bluer election environment today at 4pm ET and Friday at 1230pm ET.'
'A review of recent Senate polling strongly suggests if the election were held today Democrats would retain the Senate and perhaps even pick up a few seats. The NYTimes has a good Senate overview today, and that new polling from Future Majority finds a far better Senate landscape for Democrats:
AZ – Kelly leads Masters, 48-39, Lamon 47-41. He trailed a generic Republican 43-45 in March. '
GA – Warnock leads Walker 48-44. He trailed 48-49 in March.
NH – Hassan leads Bolduc 49-40. They didn’t poll NH in March.
NV – Cortez Masto leads Laxalt 46-43. She trailed Laxalt 43-45 in March.
Source: About NDN
'NDN is a leading liberal think tank and advocacy organization based in Washington, DC.
At the very core of NDN’s understanding of the world is that a “new politics” - driven by enormous changes in demography, media and technology, economics and geopolitics - is being born in the United States and around the globe. NDN, its Fellows and its network of leaders and thinkers attempt to interpret and explain these changes, and offer innovative solutions to help policy makers and elected officials meet the new challenges presented by these new times.'
Perhaps, with this bundle I'll sleep better tonight.
This is excellent news, but the Democrats HAVE to campaign on this stuff, and help people understand that giving people a better life is NOT socialism..... And with SCOTUS primed to consider Moore v Parker from North Carolina next session, it is imperative that Biden and the Dems realize the real existential threat we face. If SCOTUS decides Moore the way I suspect they will (it was a state case with no federal component - they went looking for it), our votes will no longer count if we are in red states, as the state legislatures will be able to determine who wins state elections (and even national elections) and the decision would prevent the state executive or courts from restricting what the legislature could do in administering elections and counting the votes. And we KNOW from Clarence Thomas's list of rights he feels must be overturned that the Court eagerly awaits the red states that will gin up the cases against Griswold, Lawrence, Obergefell, maybe even Loving, though that would be embarrassing to Thomas (unless he and Ginni aren't getting along.....). The last time the Supreme Court was enlarged to nine justices in 1868, it was because there were nine US Circuit Courts. Today there are 13 US Circuit Courts.....and to satisfy Justice Thomas, we have history and tradition - the number of US Supreme Court justices traditionally equaled the number of US Circuit Courts. Ipso facto.....