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Elizabeth M. (Massachusetts)'s avatar

I did a quick search on the internet of the total number of people who attended any of Trump’s rallies on Jan. 6.. The highest estimate I could find was 120,000. That’s certainly a very large number of people in one place, and the subset who violently attacked and invaded the Capitol was more than enough to wreak havoc, kill Capitol police, and miss killing members of Congress and Mike Pence and deranging our democracy by a few yards.

Suppose we assume that 1 in 4 of the Magats who felt really strongly about Trump’s lies actually went to DC that day. That ups the number of conceivably potentially violent Magats to 480,000 nationwide. The World Population review says that as of 2018, there were 19,495 cities and towns in the US. Call it 20,000 for easier mental math. That means that if we spread the Jan. 6 total protesters and insurrectionista and wish-I-had-gone’s evenly across all the cities and town in the country, that’s still only 24 people per city or town if I did the math right. Even if all of them picked up guns and began running amok, yes they could do some terrible and tragic damage wherever they struck. But is that enough people to overcome those in the local police, national guard, etc. who still support the rule of law and who would immediately mobilize to put down what would appear to be a local band of armed lunatics?

I have zero military or law enforcement education or experience. I’ve fired a gun a few times at a range. I have zero expertise in thinking about actual violence and how it could play out. I’m hoping people on this forum who actually are qualified to speak about such things could comment on whether a large number of Dump supporters taking up arms is a realistic possibility, how many there would be, and what would be the chances they would actually prevail anywhere. Okay, anywhere outside Texas?

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