So we tell ourselves. It could be that Rupert will pick our president again. He already expressed a preference for Youngkin. Now it seems that others are encouraging him to get in the race since DeSatan is flaming out. Has anybody noticed that Georgia repubs are gearing up to oust Fani Willis. The cult is alive and well, and it will be, by whatever meansтАж.
Penfist, I do not doubt you. After our exchange, I found the following recent article:
тАШDemographic change continued to chip away at the cornerstone of the Republican electoral coalition in 2022, a new analysis of Census data has found.тАЩ
тАШWhite voters without a four-year college degree, the indispensable core of the modern GOP coalition, declined in 2022 as a share of both actual and eligible voters, according to a study of Census results by Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientist who specializes in electoral turnout.тАЩ
тАШMcDonaldтАЩs finding, provided exclusively to CNN, shows that the 2022 election continued the long-term trend dating back at least to the 1970s of a sustained fall in the share of the votes cast by working-class White voters who once constituted the brawny backbone of the Democratic coalition, but have since become the absolute foundation of Republican campaign fortunes.тАЩ
тАШAs non-college Whites have receded in the electorate over that long arc, non-White adults and, to a somewhat lesser extent, Whites with at least a four-year college degree, have steadily increased their influence. тАЬThis is a trend that is baked into the demographic change of the country, so [it] is likely going to accelerate over the next ten years,тАЭ says McDonald, author of the recent book тАЬFrom Pandemic to Insurrection: Voting in the 2020 Presidential Election.тАЭ
тАШFrom election to election, the impact of the changing composition of the voter pool is modest. The slow but steady decline of non-college Whites, now the GOPтАЩs best group, did not stop Donald Trump from winning the presidency in 2016 тАУ nor does it preclude him from winning it again in 2024. And, compared to their national numbers, these non-college voters remain a larger share of the electorate in many of the key states that will likely decide the 2024 presidential race (particularly Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) and control of the Senate (including seats Democrats are defending in Montana, Ohio and West Virginia.)тАЩ
тАШBut even across those states, these voters are shrinking as a share of the electorate. And McDonaldтАЩs analysis of the 2022 results shows that the non-college White share of the total vote is highly likely to decline again in 2024, while the combined share of non-Whites and Whites with a college degree, groups much more favorable to Democrats, is virtually certain to increase. The political effect of this decline is analogous to turning up the resistance on a treadmill: as their best group shrinks, Republicans must run a little faster just to stay in place.тАЩ
тАШEspecially ominous for Republicans is that the share of the vote cast by these blue-collar Whites declined slightly in 2022 even though turnout among those voters was relatively strong, while minority turnout fell sharply, according to McDonaldтАЩs analysis. The reason for those seemingly incongruous trends is that even solid turnout among the non-college Whites could not offset the fact that they are continuing to shrink in the total pool of eligible voters, as American society grows better-educated and more racially diverse.тАЩ (CNN) See link below.
'Is the Surge to the Left Among Young Voters a Trump Blip or the Real Deal?' (Opinion By Thomas B. Edsall, NY Times)
'Two key Democratic constituencies тАФ the young and the religiously unobservant тАФ have substantially increased as a share of the electorate.'
'This shift is striking.'
'In 2012, for example, white evangelicals тАФ a hard-core Republican constituency тАФ made up the same proportion of the electorate as the religiously unaffiliated: agnostics, atheists and the nonreligious. Both groups stood at roughly 19 percent of the population.'
'By 2022, according to the Public Religion Research Institute (better known as P.R.R.I.), the percentage of white evangelicals had fallen to 13.6 percent, while those with little or no interest in religion and more progressive inclinations had surged to 26.8 percent of the population.'
'Defying the adage among practitioners and scholars of politics that voters become more conservative as they age тАФ millennials (those born between 1981 and 1996) and Gen Z (those born in 1997 and afterward) have in fact become decidedly more Democratic over time, according to data compiled by the Cooperative Election Study.' Link is below. Sorry that gifted option is not available.
What is that old saying about old age and treachery beating youth and exuberance. We have more old age and treachery in the Republican Party who have the megaphone, money, and power. Youth give me hope but I sense that not enough understand the peril we are in.
We not only need to "kill the king," we also need to kill The Party." Thanks, I think, Fern!
The party is killing itself.
So we tell ourselves. It could be that Rupert will pick our president again. He already expressed a preference for Youngkin. Now it seems that others are encouraging him to get in the race since DeSatan is flaming out. Has anybody noticed that Georgia repubs are gearing up to oust Fani Willis. The cult is alive and well, and it will be, by whatever meansтАж.
I don't "like" this.
They move at warp speed, while justice inches along.
What is your source, Penfist?
What is the body count?
Thank you.
I will answer your question with an essay at my place, Fern. It will be sourced. Tomorrow afternoon. I will come back here and post a link.
Penfist, I do not doubt you. After our exchange, I found the following recent article:
тАШDemographic change continued to chip away at the cornerstone of the Republican electoral coalition in 2022, a new analysis of Census data has found.тАЩ
тАШWhite voters without a four-year college degree, the indispensable core of the modern GOP coalition, declined in 2022 as a share of both actual and eligible voters, according to a study of Census results by Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientist who specializes in electoral turnout.тАЩ
тАШMcDonaldтАЩs finding, provided exclusively to CNN, shows that the 2022 election continued the long-term trend dating back at least to the 1970s of a sustained fall in the share of the votes cast by working-class White voters who once constituted the brawny backbone of the Democratic coalition, but have since become the absolute foundation of Republican campaign fortunes.тАЩ
тАШAs non-college Whites have receded in the electorate over that long arc, non-White adults and, to a somewhat lesser extent, Whites with at least a four-year college degree, have steadily increased their influence. тАЬThis is a trend that is baked into the demographic change of the country, so [it] is likely going to accelerate over the next ten years,тАЭ says McDonald, author of the recent book тАЬFrom Pandemic to Insurrection: Voting in the 2020 Presidential Election.тАЭ
тАШFrom election to election, the impact of the changing composition of the voter pool is modest. The slow but steady decline of non-college Whites, now the GOPтАЩs best group, did not stop Donald Trump from winning the presidency in 2016 тАУ nor does it preclude him from winning it again in 2024. And, compared to their national numbers, these non-college voters remain a larger share of the electorate in many of the key states that will likely decide the 2024 presidential race (particularly Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) and control of the Senate (including seats Democrats are defending in Montana, Ohio and West Virginia.)тАЩ
тАШBut even across those states, these voters are shrinking as a share of the electorate. And McDonaldтАЩs analysis of the 2022 results shows that the non-college White share of the total vote is highly likely to decline again in 2024, while the combined share of non-Whites and Whites with a college degree, groups much more favorable to Democrats, is virtually certain to increase. The political effect of this decline is analogous to turning up the resistance on a treadmill: as their best group shrinks, Republicans must run a little faster just to stay in place.тАЩ
тАШEspecially ominous for Republicans is that the share of the vote cast by these blue-collar Whites declined slightly in 2022 even though turnout among those voters was relatively strong, while minority turnout fell sharply, according to McDonaldтАЩs analysis. The reason for those seemingly incongruous trends is that even solid turnout among the non-college Whites could not offset the fact that they are continuing to shrink in the total pool of eligible voters, as American society grows better-educated and more racially diverse.тАЩ (CNN) See link below.
https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/16/politics/demographic-changes-voters-fault-lines/index.html
ThatтАЩs it. Young people are inheriting a broken society. TheyтАЩre not going to be doing things the way boomers did. TheyтАЩre paying attention.
'Is the Surge to the Left Among Young Voters a Trump Blip or the Real Deal?' (Opinion By Thomas B. Edsall, NY Times)
'Two key Democratic constituencies тАФ the young and the religiously unobservant тАФ have substantially increased as a share of the electorate.'
'This shift is striking.'
'In 2012, for example, white evangelicals тАФ a hard-core Republican constituency тАФ made up the same proportion of the electorate as the religiously unaffiliated: agnostics, atheists and the nonreligious. Both groups stood at roughly 19 percent of the population.'
'By 2022, according to the Public Religion Research Institute (better known as P.R.R.I.), the percentage of white evangelicals had fallen to 13.6 percent, while those with little or no interest in religion and more progressive inclinations had surged to 26.8 percent of the population.'
'Defying the adage among practitioners and scholars of politics that voters become more conservative as they age тАФ millennials (those born between 1981 and 1996) and Gen Z (those born in 1997 and afterward) have in fact become decidedly more Democratic over time, according to data compiled by the Cooperative Election Study.' Link is below. Sorry that gifted option is not available.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/24/opinion/voting-trends-democrats.html
Never been called тАЬreligiously unobservantтАЭ before. I can deal with thatтАж
What is that old saying about old age and treachery beating youth and exuberance. We have more old age and treachery in the Republican Party who have the megaphone, money, and power. Youth give me hope but I sense that not enough understand the peril we are in.