Restating what was said yesterday regarding domestic politics, which also applies everywhere else: There is a single steadfast rule for being alive right now, and it is: Do not bet against the dumbest possible outcome. On a nightly talk show this past week, Vladimir Solovyov, a TV presenter known for his anti-Western polemics who is one of the Kremlin’s top propagandists, quoted Vladimir Putin.
If I still drank alcohol this would be a good reason to open a nice old single malt and pour myself a three finger glass. I concur with everything you have laid out. The Russian military has been an abject failure for so many reasons, I don’t think the average Russian has any idea just how badly their revered military has preformed, the generals know, they know that they are sending ill equipped and ill trained men to almost certain death, if their officer corps is anything like ours or any of the NATO countries, this has to disturb them deeply. We and the Ukrainians are facing a lunatic that has no moral compass, what we have been seeing on a daily basis is proof positive of that. There is no way that the Russians are going to win, even if they go nuclear they will still loose, their generals know that, many more people will join the cannon fodder they have thrown into this ill conceived war. So I guess we have to look to their common humanity for them to put a stop to this disaster. One man can not be allowed to drive us all off a cliff, you and I are old enough that if our lives were to end today we would have had a good life and we are going to go soon anyhow, but what of the young that are just starting life’s journey? These questions have to be being asked within the Russian officer corps, they just have to be. I’m not holding my breath but I believe that some of them must be saying to themselves enough of this shit, I hope so anyhow 🙏🇺🇦
For American warfighters fighting for Ukraine and destroying Putin’s aggressive strength would be the first war or fight worthwhile since the Korean War. IMHO
Putin, a cornered animal. Dang it. That means only one thing. All bets are off.
I haven’t thought this much about nuclear war in a long time. Which is about the only good scenario of nuclear war. Standoffs. Check. The threat prevents an event.
I’m not really sure how to think about it now that it truly is the dumbest possible outcome. How does one, gulp, prepare?
My understanding is that the Russian military is pissed off that their hands are tied and are pushing for a full all out war against NATO. And I agree that it is highly likely. We have been in WWIII since 2014 and are stating to wake up to that fact. But given the sanctions, the ability to launch a full scale war is limited in that they cannot build or repair anything that depends on imported parts. The question is, are the nuclear warheads up to speed? Or have they been neglected and maybe even stripped for saleable bits? Their rockets work but do the warheads?
Somewhere I read the Chinese idea of winning a war is to provide a golden bridge for the looser, to withdraw. Doesn't seem to be much of a chance for that in Ukraine. All the bridges for Russian supply are busted, so they won't do for retreat either. I think you are right about this situation and the West must think twice and be prepared. Well written TC!
Of course there is a golden bridge: If Americans would Put in Trump in the White House again, he could relax and take Ukraine in a second war, without the US interfering. The Russian model like Finland and Chechenia.
Wouldn't it be wonderful if Israel transported to the Ukraine border their donation of a couple of Jericho II missiles mounted on mobile launchers loaded with high explosives, coordinates set for Red Square (just input the precise GPS location you are firing from) arriving 7 days from now.
If I still drank alcohol this would be a good reason to open a nice old single malt and pour myself a three finger glass. I concur with everything you have laid out. The Russian military has been an abject failure for so many reasons, I don’t think the average Russian has any idea just how badly their revered military has preformed, the generals know, they know that they are sending ill equipped and ill trained men to almost certain death, if their officer corps is anything like ours or any of the NATO countries, this has to disturb them deeply. We and the Ukrainians are facing a lunatic that has no moral compass, what we have been seeing on a daily basis is proof positive of that. There is no way that the Russians are going to win, even if they go nuclear they will still loose, their generals know that, many more people will join the cannon fodder they have thrown into this ill conceived war. So I guess we have to look to their common humanity for them to put a stop to this disaster. One man can not be allowed to drive us all off a cliff, you and I are old enough that if our lives were to end today we would have had a good life and we are going to go soon anyhow, but what of the young that are just starting life’s journey? These questions have to be being asked within the Russian officer corps, they just have to be. I’m not holding my breath but I believe that some of them must be saying to themselves enough of this shit, I hope so anyhow 🙏🇺🇦
Roger That! From another old guy
For American warfighters fighting for Ukraine and destroying Putin’s aggressive strength would be the first war or fight worthwhile since the Korean War. IMHO
I think you're right.
Putin, a cornered animal. Dang it. That means only one thing. All bets are off.
I haven’t thought this much about nuclear war in a long time. Which is about the only good scenario of nuclear war. Standoffs. Check. The threat prevents an event.
I’m not really sure how to think about it now that it truly is the dumbest possible outcome. How does one, gulp, prepare?
I loathe putin and his fools of men.
This is disturbing and it should be!!
My understanding is that the Russian military is pissed off that their hands are tied and are pushing for a full all out war against NATO. And I agree that it is highly likely. We have been in WWIII since 2014 and are stating to wake up to that fact. But given the sanctions, the ability to launch a full scale war is limited in that they cannot build or repair anything that depends on imported parts. The question is, are the nuclear warheads up to speed? Or have they been neglected and maybe even stripped for saleable bits? Their rockets work but do the warheads?
Somewhere I read the Chinese idea of winning a war is to provide a golden bridge for the looser, to withdraw. Doesn't seem to be much of a chance for that in Ukraine. All the bridges for Russian supply are busted, so they won't do for retreat either. I think you are right about this situation and the West must think twice and be prepared. Well written TC!
Of course there is a golden bridge: If Americans would Put in Trump in the White House again, he could relax and take Ukraine in a second war, without the US interfering. The Russian model like Finland and Chechenia.
Wouldn't it be wonderful if Israel transported to the Ukraine border their donation of a couple of Jericho II missiles mounted on mobile launchers loaded with high explosives, coordinates set for Red Square (just input the precise GPS location you are firing from) arriving 7 days from now.
You are evil. I love this idea.
Not with explosives, but with rolling out a flying banner along with the parade: Special Military Operation - Brothermurder!
I thought this article in WaPo about the T-72 Russian Tanks would interest the military gurus among you. https://wapo.st/3Kuzfhu
Hah! You beat me to a longer article on the topic! I guess I'll still proceed.
jeez man, you're on quite a roll, aren't ya?