I’m feeling better about Biden’s chances ։given more than just polling in the past month. The Alabama state senate race and the Enid, OK. Council recall both offer sone hope about cracks in the MAGA facade.
When it comes to polling, I’ve always kept the 1936 Literary Digest presidential election poll debacle in the back of my mind. That s…
I’m feeling better about Biden’s chances ։given more than just polling in the past month. The Alabama state senate race and the Enid, OK. Council recall both offer sone hope about cracks in the MAGA facade.
When it comes to polling, I’ve always kept the 1936 Literary Digest presidential election poll debacle in the back of my mind. That situation goes straight to how good one’s polling methodology really is, and it cuts both ways.
What’s important now is to turn Trump’s campaign into the voyage of the Demeter. Before early voting and Election Day, the country needs to see Trump lashed to its wheel, wild eyed and babbling incoherently as the last weak minded MAGA supporters see the horror of what they’ve put their red cap/bumper sticker/porch flag money into.
My concern is that many MAGA supporters *have* seen what they've put their money into and they're fine with it. Trump is the figurehead for white Christian supremacy; it might not even matter that he babbles (is he "speaking in tongues"?). Fortunately there's no comparable figurehead waiting in the wings, but it's hard not to be concerned about Project 2025 -- about which, I'm pretty sure, most Democratic-leaning voters have not even heard.
I like to think so. Consider also the predicament of the (at best) lukewarm Trump supporter whose spouse or other family member is a raging MAGA. They probably aren't going to contradict that person, but when they go into the voting booth . . . ? (This is the one thing I worry about with vote-by-mail: the raging MAGA might be looking over your shoulder.)
I’m feeling better about Biden’s chances ։given more than just polling in the past month. The Alabama state senate race and the Enid, OK. Council recall both offer sone hope about cracks in the MAGA facade.
When it comes to polling, I’ve always kept the 1936 Literary Digest presidential election poll debacle in the back of my mind. That situation goes straight to how good one’s polling methodology really is, and it cuts both ways.
What’s important now is to turn Trump’s campaign into the voyage of the Demeter. Before early voting and Election Day, the country needs to see Trump lashed to its wheel, wild eyed and babbling incoherently as the last weak minded MAGA supporters see the horror of what they’ve put their red cap/bumper sticker/porch flag money into.
My concern is that many MAGA supporters *have* seen what they've put their money into and they're fine with it. Trump is the figurehead for white Christian supremacy; it might not even matter that he babbles (is he "speaking in tongues"?). Fortunately there's no comparable figurehead waiting in the wings, but it's hard not to be concerned about Project 2025 -- about which, I'm pretty sure, most Democratic-leaning voters have not even heard.
There’s still an element that’ll peel off at the last moment.
I like to think so. Consider also the predicament of the (at best) lukewarm Trump supporter whose spouse or other family member is a raging MAGA. They probably aren't going to contradict that person, but when they go into the voting booth . . . ? (This is the one thing I worry about with vote-by-mail: the raging MAGA might be looking over your shoulder.)