'Demographic profiles of Republican and Democratic voters'. Gary, I thought the following would be of interest to you, TC (if he hasn't seen it) and other TAFMers..
'Many of the prominent demographic differences that have defined the two parties’ voting coalitions in recent years persisted in the 2022 elections. Democratic voters were onc…
'Demographic profiles of Republican and Democratic voters'. Gary, I thought the following would be of interest to you, TC (if he hasn't seen it) and other TAFMers..
'Many of the prominent demographic differences that have defined the two parties’ voting coalitions in recent years persisted in the 2022 elections. Democratic voters were once again, on average, younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and more likely to possess college degrees than Republican voters. Those who voted for a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House were also less likely to live in a rural area and more likely to be religiously unaffiliated than Republican voters.'
'Racial and ethnic composition of 2022 voters'
'More than eight-in-ten Republican voters in 2022 (85%) were White, non-Hispanic, down slightly (from 88%) compared with the 2018 midterms. Nearly identical shares of Democratic voters in 2022 (64%) and 2018 (65%) were White.'
'Black, non-Hispanic voters represented 17% of Democratic voters in 2022, while Hispanic and Asian voters accounted for 11% and 4%, respectively, of the Democratic Party’s support at the polls. Hispanic voters made up 7% of Republican voters, while 2% of GOP voters were Asian and 1% were Black.'
'Rural, suburban and urban composition of 2022 voters'
'Even as the Democratic voting coalition has remained more urban and the Republican coalition more rural overall, the share of suburban voters among Democratic voters has been rising since 2016.'
'...Suburban voters have grown as a share of Democratic voters since 2016
In Donald Trump’s 2016 presidential victory, suburban voters made up nearly half of Democratic voters (48%). By the 2022 midterm elections, they comprised 57% of the Democratic voting coalition. Among the electorate as a whole, the share of suburban voters was 55% in 2022, up 5 percentage points from 2016.'
'The share of Democratic voters who describe their communities as urban declined by 5 points since 2016 (from 32% to 27%).'
'Among Republican voters, shifts have been much more modest in recent years. Roughly half of Republican voters in 2022 (53%) reported living in suburban communities, while 36% reported living in rural communities and 11% in urban areas. These shares were nearly identical to the shares of Republican voters living in suburban (53%), rural (35%) and urban (12%) communities in 2016.'
'Educational composition of 2022 vote
'A somewhat larger share of the electorate has held college degrees in each of the past two midterm elections (43% each) than in the past two presidential elections (39% in 2020, 37% in 2016).'
'As was the case in the 2018 midterms, voters with and without college degrees each accounted for roughly half of the Democratic Party’s voters in 2022 (51% held college degrees while 49% did not).'
'By contrast, a majority of Republican voters in 2022 had no college degree (63%); a smaller share had a college degree or more (37%). This is similar to the shares of Republican voters with and without a college degree in 2018.'
'White voters without college degrees made up a majority (54%) of Republican voters in 2022, compared with 27% of Democratic voters. Yet the share of Republican voters who are members of this group was down 4 points compared with the 2020 presidential election.'
'Age composition of 2022 voters'
'The electorate was somewhat older in 2022, on average, than in other recent elections, with 64% of validated voters ages 50 and older. And while the Democratic voting coalition was once again younger than the Republican coalition, both parties relied slightly more on the ballots of older voters than they have in other recent elections.'
'A majority of Democratic voters (57%) were ages 50 and older in the 2022 midterms, compared with 51% of Joe Biden’s voters in 2020 and 53% of voters who supported a Democratic House candidate in 2018. Just 14% of Democratic voters were under the age of 30 in 2022 — similar to the 15% of Democratic voters who were in this age group in 2018, but less than their share of Democratic voters in 2020 (17%).'
'Seven-in-ten Republican voters were 50 and older in the most recent election, compared with 62% of Republican voters in 2020 and 68% in 2018.'
'Religious composition of 2022 voters
'Protestants once again accounted for a majority of Republican voters (59%), with their share of the party’s voters essentially unchanged across the past four elections. Protestants constituted a third of Democratic voters in 2022; a larger share of Democratic voters (39%) described themselves as religiously unaffiliated (including atheists, agnostics and those who describe themselves as “nothing in particular”).'
'White evangelical Protestant voters made up about a third of the Republican voting coalition in 2022, while accounting for just 5% of Democratic voters. And while Black Protestants continue to represent a more substantial share of Democratic voters than Republican voters (12% vs. 1%), the share of Republican voters who are Protestant and have a racial or ethnic background other than Black or White grew slightly in 2022 (to 8%, up from 5% in the previous three election cycles).'
'Of those states with less than 70% of eligible residents registered to vote, most are located in the south or midwest. California has 18,001,000 registered voters, but because of the large population of the state, this makes up only 69.4% of eligible voters. The same is true in Florida, where 67.1% of eligible residents are registered to vote, a total of 10,495,000 Floridians. Arkansas is the state with the lowest percentage of registered voters, at 62.0%'
'Here are the 10 states with the highest rates of voter registration:'
I'm usually inclined to agree, except when I consider how much damage an unchecked House could do, and in very little time. right now is a pretty fair example.
historically, there have been times when things were different. but, until the Repugs actually self-destruct in some kind of real way, this is what we've got.
Yes, it will take a complete reform of the entire voting apparatus in the US to eliminate as many of the disadvantages in our "Senior Chamber" as possible. Open primaries and ranked-choice voting will tend to weed out the true crazies (in most places - there are some where I doubt it will make a difference). In the Senate itself, we must end the "traditions" so beloved of the obstructionists - the "blue slip". the "hold" (a la Tuberville), and other non-Constitutional procedures that gum up the works. The filibuster has to go or be reformed into what Al Franken and Norm Ornstein suggested - make it hurt. No more calling in a filibuster from the Senate cloak room and then leaving for the weekend. Reverse the pain - the minority party bringing the filibuster must maintain 41 senators on the floor at all times to forestall cloture, or the Senate majority leader can call for a cloture vote by simple majority. All discussion must be about the bill under consideration - the first time Cruz starts reading "Green Eggs and Ham", the majority leader calls for a cloture vote. Good luck breaking that chain.....
all excellent ideas. the filibuster thing was bad enough when people had to hold the floor until they passed out (like Jimmy Stewart in "Mr. Smith Goes to Washington) or had to piss in a bottle, like Strom Thurmond. now, it's a hideous sort of joke.
I'd love to see how long the septuagenarians in the Senate can stay awake and hold out for a REAL filibuster......Grassley complained he was over 80 and couldn't stay on the floor that long.
'Demographic profiles of Republican and Democratic voters'. Gary, I thought the following would be of interest to you, TC (if he hasn't seen it) and other TAFMers..
'Many of the prominent demographic differences that have defined the two parties’ voting coalitions in recent years persisted in the 2022 elections. Democratic voters were once again, on average, younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and more likely to possess college degrees than Republican voters. Those who voted for a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House were also less likely to live in a rural area and more likely to be religiously unaffiliated than Republican voters.'
'Racial and ethnic composition of 2022 voters'
'More than eight-in-ten Republican voters in 2022 (85%) were White, non-Hispanic, down slightly (from 88%) compared with the 2018 midterms. Nearly identical shares of Democratic voters in 2022 (64%) and 2018 (65%) were White.'
'Black, non-Hispanic voters represented 17% of Democratic voters in 2022, while Hispanic and Asian voters accounted for 11% and 4%, respectively, of the Democratic Party’s support at the polls. Hispanic voters made up 7% of Republican voters, while 2% of GOP voters were Asian and 1% were Black.'
'Rural, suburban and urban composition of 2022 voters'
'Even as the Democratic voting coalition has remained more urban and the Republican coalition more rural overall, the share of suburban voters among Democratic voters has been rising since 2016.'
'...Suburban voters have grown as a share of Democratic voters since 2016
In Donald Trump’s 2016 presidential victory, suburban voters made up nearly half of Democratic voters (48%). By the 2022 midterm elections, they comprised 57% of the Democratic voting coalition. Among the electorate as a whole, the share of suburban voters was 55% in 2022, up 5 percentage points from 2016.'
'The share of Democratic voters who describe their communities as urban declined by 5 points since 2016 (from 32% to 27%).'
'Among Republican voters, shifts have been much more modest in recent years. Roughly half of Republican voters in 2022 (53%) reported living in suburban communities, while 36% reported living in rural communities and 11% in urban areas. These shares were nearly identical to the shares of Republican voters living in suburban (53%), rural (35%) and urban (12%) communities in 2016.'
'Educational composition of 2022 vote
'A somewhat larger share of the electorate has held college degrees in each of the past two midterm elections (43% each) than in the past two presidential elections (39% in 2020, 37% in 2016).'
'As was the case in the 2018 midterms, voters with and without college degrees each accounted for roughly half of the Democratic Party’s voters in 2022 (51% held college degrees while 49% did not).'
'By contrast, a majority of Republican voters in 2022 had no college degree (63%); a smaller share had a college degree or more (37%). This is similar to the shares of Republican voters with and without a college degree in 2018.'
'White voters without college degrees made up a majority (54%) of Republican voters in 2022, compared with 27% of Democratic voters. Yet the share of Republican voters who are members of this group was down 4 points compared with the 2020 presidential election.'
'Age composition of 2022 voters'
'The electorate was somewhat older in 2022, on average, than in other recent elections, with 64% of validated voters ages 50 and older. And while the Democratic voting coalition was once again younger than the Republican coalition, both parties relied slightly more on the ballots of older voters than they have in other recent elections.'
'A majority of Democratic voters (57%) were ages 50 and older in the 2022 midterms, compared with 51% of Joe Biden’s voters in 2020 and 53% of voters who supported a Democratic House candidate in 2018. Just 14% of Democratic voters were under the age of 30 in 2022 — similar to the 15% of Democratic voters who were in this age group in 2018, but less than their share of Democratic voters in 2020 (17%).'
'Seven-in-ten Republican voters were 50 and older in the most recent election, compared with 62% of Republican voters in 2020 and 68% in 2018.'
'Religious composition of 2022 voters
'Protestants once again accounted for a majority of Republican voters (59%), with their share of the party’s voters essentially unchanged across the past four elections. Protestants constituted a third of Democratic voters in 2022; a larger share of Democratic voters (39%) described themselves as religiously unaffiliated (including atheists, agnostics and those who describe themselves as “nothing in particular”).'
'White evangelical Protestant voters made up about a third of the Republican voting coalition in 2022, while accounting for just 5% of Democratic voters. And while Black Protestants continue to represent a more substantial share of Democratic voters than Republican voters (12% vs. 1%), the share of Republican voters who are Protestant and have a racial or ethnic background other than Black or White grew slightly in 2022 (to 8%, up from 5% in the previous three election cycles).'
That's it for now.
Sounds about right to me.
Another two bites:
'Of those states with less than 70% of eligible residents registered to vote, most are located in the south or midwest. California has 18,001,000 registered voters, but because of the large population of the state, this makes up only 69.4% of eligible voters. The same is true in Florida, where 67.1% of eligible residents are registered to vote, a total of 10,495,000 Floridians. Arkansas is the state with the lowest percentage of registered voters, at 62.0%'
'Here are the 10 states with the highest rates of voter registration:'
1. District of Columbia - 86.9%
2. New Jersey - 84.6%
3. Minnesota - 82.9%
4. Mississippi - 80.4%
5. Oregon - 79.9%
6. Maryland - 78.6%
7. New Hampshire - 78.3%
8. Montana - 77.5%
9. Maine - 77.4%
10. North Dakota - 77.3%
(Pew Research)
But the electoral college and the marginL numbers there are the thru put
The Senate is even worse per representation.
We need to abolish the House of Lords... er, the Senate.
I'm usually inclined to agree, except when I consider how much damage an unchecked House could do, and in very little time. right now is a pretty fair example.
historically, there have been times when things were different. but, until the Repugs actually self-destruct in some kind of real way, this is what we've got.
to quote any number of DC comics heroes, "ugh."
Yes, it will take a complete reform of the entire voting apparatus in the US to eliminate as many of the disadvantages in our "Senior Chamber" as possible. Open primaries and ranked-choice voting will tend to weed out the true crazies (in most places - there are some where I doubt it will make a difference). In the Senate itself, we must end the "traditions" so beloved of the obstructionists - the "blue slip". the "hold" (a la Tuberville), and other non-Constitutional procedures that gum up the works. The filibuster has to go or be reformed into what Al Franken and Norm Ornstein suggested - make it hurt. No more calling in a filibuster from the Senate cloak room and then leaving for the weekend. Reverse the pain - the minority party bringing the filibuster must maintain 41 senators on the floor at all times to forestall cloture, or the Senate majority leader can call for a cloture vote by simple majority. All discussion must be about the bill under consideration - the first time Cruz starts reading "Green Eggs and Ham", the majority leader calls for a cloture vote. Good luck breaking that chain.....
all excellent ideas. the filibuster thing was bad enough when people had to hold the floor until they passed out (like Jimmy Stewart in "Mr. Smith Goes to Washington) or had to piss in a bottle, like Strom Thurmond. now, it's a hideous sort of joke.
I'd love to see how long the septuagenarians in the Senate can stay awake and hold out for a REAL filibuster......Grassley complained he was over 80 and couldn't stay on the floor that long.
I have decided the "rebrand" the Senate..... From now on, I will refer to them as "pre-hospice".....
OK. Other than statistics what does it explain?
Statistics matter a great deal for seeing, understanding and strategy.