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I am supposed to know the answer to your question (good ole public health nurse, ret.), but I had to look it up to be sure:

"Excess deaths are typically defined as the difference between the observed numbers of deaths in specific time periods and expected numbers of deaths in the same time periods."

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm#:~:text=Excess%20deaths%20are%20typically%20defined,in%20the%20same%20time%20periods.

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Thank you Nurse MaryPat for your successful intervention here. :-)

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You are welcome. My bill's in the (e)mail!

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Thanks, MaryPat, I knew it had to be a statistics-particular term but for some reason I couldn't rattle my brain hard enough to figure it out. Now that you explain it, it seems obvious and the only mystery remaining is why I didn't look it up myself.

The other mystery is that I am relaxing this afternoon by sitting here reading about a pandemic

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You're engaging in an activity Clarence Darrow once described thus: "I have never killed a man, but I have read some obituaries with great relish."

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Another fav

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Dean, I doubt you have the CDC on speed dial like this "Nurse in the Family" does! I, too, think I need to get a real (relaxing) life - between TC & HCR I am reading "Lady Justice" by Dahlia Lithwick. Spellbinding accounts of female lawyers who work to defend democracy against trumpfuckery (I can say that descriptor on TC's site, but not HCR's).

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Glad for the recommendation. I have heard good things about that book.

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Excellent review of Lithwick's book here. https://www.harvard.com/book/lady_justice/

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