Most excellent news - already signed up. On an interesting tangent, I recently saw two separate analyses of the Ukraine war, and both of them said that eventually Ukraine will win. A Chinese Russian scholar laid out the geopolitical hurdles for Russia. The other one is far more interesting because it puts statistics to the situation. Russia has only 18-24 months left to prosecute the war in Ukraine. They are drawing down the vast stocks of old Soviet weapons that can be reworked and refurbished, and their losses are far in excess of what they can refurbish and produce. In 18-24 months, they will have run out of the old stored vehicles and guns that can be rebuilt, and their new production is crippled by the lack of advanced computer chips in sufficient quantities and the lack of labor (Russia currently has a shortage of 5 million workers and the economy is suffering from this deficiency). Also the central bank has told Putin that the bank cannot keep the economy stable in the current war economic conditions..... The icing on the cake is that if Putin persists in trying to defeat Ukraine, he will bleed the Russian military to the point that Russia will not be able to wage any wars on anyone. In 10-15 years Russia's declining population guarantees they will not be able to mount large-scale operations. If this does play out this way, that's one major world disrupter taken off the board.....
Thank you Tom. She is great. I don't know what to do. I sit here reading so many Substacks a day that I'm losing muscle tone in my legs. I'm at $150/mo already, too. Yikes!
Most excellent news - already signed up. On an interesting tangent, I recently saw two separate analyses of the Ukraine war, and both of them said that eventually Ukraine will win. A Chinese Russian scholar laid out the geopolitical hurdles for Russia. The other one is far more interesting because it puts statistics to the situation. Russia has only 18-24 months left to prosecute the war in Ukraine. They are drawing down the vast stocks of old Soviet weapons that can be reworked and refurbished, and their losses are far in excess of what they can refurbish and produce. In 18-24 months, they will have run out of the old stored vehicles and guns that can be rebuilt, and their new production is crippled by the lack of advanced computer chips in sufficient quantities and the lack of labor (Russia currently has a shortage of 5 million workers and the economy is suffering from this deficiency). Also the central bank has told Putin that the bank cannot keep the economy stable in the current war economic conditions..... The icing on the cake is that if Putin persists in trying to defeat Ukraine, he will bleed the Russian military to the point that Russia will not be able to wage any wars on anyone. In 10-15 years Russia's declining population guarantees they will not be able to mount large-scale operations. If this does play out this way, that's one major world disrupter taken off the board.....
Thank you Tom. She is great. I don't know what to do. I sit here reading so many Substacks a day that I'm losing muscle tone in my legs. I'm at $150/mo already, too. Yikes!
Thanks for the heads up Tom. All of her writings are a must read.
Thanks for this, Tom. Applebaum is excellent!
Thanks Tom, I signed up on the spot, Anne has a brilliant mind, I subscribe to The Atlantic just to read her thoughts. ;-)